Disturbance Thirty Four is now passing south of Puerto Rico westbound at 12 knots. Environmental conditions for development are shaping up in the western Caribbean later in the week when this may become the next cyclone as it heads for the southern Gulf of Mexico. Some of the more forthright modellers are hinting at hurricane intensity. Weather watch needed.

Disturbance Thirty One is 1100 miles northeast of Trinidad moving to the northwest at 15 knots. Environmental conditions are still expected to be more favourable later this week as the disturbance passes east of Bermuda but the chances of it impacting the island have reduced. Slightly.

Disturbance Thirty Five has piped 500 miles south-sou’west of the Cape Verde Islands moving west at 15 knots. Thunderstorms with this system have been persistent since moving off the African coast yesterday and conditions are marginally favourable for slow development over the next few days.

Long term watch on the Gulf of Mexico otherwise stand easy.

Image Corbin Fisher