Ex- Pacific storm AGATHA has weakened to a tropical depression as it crosses southern Mexico and interacts with a mountainous terrain, but is still producing some strong winds and heavy rainfall. This will reach our area of interest with a brief appearance in the Bay of Campeche tomorrow, where is it expected to reform into a disturbance before moving to the east-nor’east across the northern Yucatan peninsula on Thursday. Regardless of development, this will produce scattered squalls and heavy rainfall across southern Mexico, the Yucatan peninsula and a sweep of northern Central America.

Thereafter, this disturbance will resurface in the south-eastern Gulf of Mexico overnight on Thursday and shape up for the Florida Keys and south Florida by the weekend. Strong upper level shear is expected to keep development in check but will still cause heavy rainfall, filthy skies and some gusty winds across western Cuba, south Florida, and the Bahamas over the weekend. In the UK, this is what experts refer to as ‘summer’.

Stand by for squalls in the Bay of Campeche and surrounding areas, otherwise stand easy.

Image Adelina Tattilo