Non-developing disturbance set to cross Gulf of Mexico.
From west to east:
Disturbance Twelve moved into northern Panama overnight with no significant impact.
Disturbance Thirteen is now centred just 120 miles east of the Windward Islands, galloping west-nor’west at a good 22 knots. This speed should prevent development as it passes over the Windward and Leeward Islands tonight with a spread of heavy showers and thunderstorms with gusty winds in squalls. The disturbance will press on to the west to pass over Puerto Rico and into Haiti tomorrow. Thereafter it will track over the north-western Caribbean then the central and southern Gulf of Mexico over the weekend. Nobody is considering development at present, so I’ll keep my cautious thoughts to myself. Just saying.
Disturbance Fourteen has piped up as a fairly weak tropical wave in the eastern Atlantic about a day and a half west of the Cape Verde Islands, westbound at 16 knots. This track does not provide development opportunities as things stand, and it seems most likely that this will have an uneventful crossing culminating in little more than enhanced shower and thunderstorm activity across the Leeward Islands and into northern South America on Sunday.
Stand easy.