Peaceful summer day across the reporting region.
From west to east:
The nominal centre of low pressure trough Disturbance Thirteen is crossing the Yucatan channel, westbound at 18 knots. This is weak and most unlikely to develop aside from causing showers and thunderstorms from western Cuba to the Yucatan peninsula. This is headed into the southern Gulf of Mexico tomorrow when it will make an unremarkable passage to the west before pushing ashore on Tuesday.
Disturbance Fourteen is currently a day’s steaming east of the Windward Islands moving briskly west at 22 knots. There will be no development at this speed nor will there when it enters the Caribbean tomorrow producing a wide sweep of showers and thunderstorms as it sets course for a forgettable landfall in central America on Thursday.
Disturbance Fifteen has mustered over the Cape Verde Islands and is shaping up to move to the west-nor’west at 12 knots with as yet disorganised showers and thunderstorms. This is also expected to open out into a weak wave as it crosses the tropical Atlantic where current environmental conditions are not favourable for development.
Stand easy.