New flow of Saharan sand entering tropical convergence zone.

| Storm Report 2022

From west to east:

Disturbance Nineteen is currently moving across the Gulf of Honduras headed west-nor’west at 22 knots. The disturbance is expected to cross the Yucatan peninsula before moving into the Bay of Campeche overnight on Friday. Thereafter, it is likely to move towards the mouth of the Rio Grande. Conditions over the south-western Gulf of Mexico will be favourable for development as this crosses the warm, unchurned waters but limited sea time and advanced ground speed are expected to prevent anything deep and meaningful from taking hold before the system moves inland overnight on Saturday. This system poses no threat to the northern Gulf of Mexico.

Disturbance Twenty is centred around 700 miles north-east of the mouth of the Amazon moving west at 16 knots. Environmental conditions remain unfavourable and tropical development is not expected.

Disturbance Twenty Three has slipped the African coast in the last few hours moving west at 15 knots. Environmental conditions are forecast to be marginally favourable for some slow development later this week but only the Canadian guy has this producing anything of note. I would suggest this is doubtful as its appearance coincides with another whiff of Saharan sand joining the mix.

Stand easy.