Disturbance six passing Maracaibo
Tuesday 14th June 2016
A number of agencies are monitoring an area off of the eastern seaboard as computer models indicate that an area of low pressure will form in the next 4 to 6 days. This far out, the most likely outcome is that this low will be extratropical. Regardless of whether or not this receives a name, the system is likely to bring rain and gusty winds to portions of the Mid Atlantic and New England coasts this weekend and early next week.
Disturbance six is located close to the entrance to Lake Maracaibo and is moving to the west at 16 knots. A west-nor'west motion is likely during the next few days. In about 4 to 5 days, the system is forecast to move into the Bay of Campeche. Once in the Bay of Campeche, there is a slight chance of tropical development before the system moves into Mexico or extreme southern Texas. There are no signs that the system would become an intense system at this stage.