New disturbance Caribbean-bound

Saturday 20th August 2016

What little remains of tropical storm FIONA is in mid Atlantic, well out of harm's way and will weaken to a tropical depression tonight. All eyes on disturbance twenty six which is showing early signs of an impact in the Caribbean. Currently 1600 miles east of Trinidad and westbound at 15 knots, winds have freshened to 25 to 35 knots. Conditions are favourable for development and at the very least, this is likely to be a tropical depression by the time it reaches the Leeward Islands on Wednesday, producing squalls across the northeastern islands of the Caribbean.

It is expected to pass well north of Trinidad and may impact Puerto Rico by Thursday as a tropical storm. The cheeky little low pressure cell we tagged earlier in the week has been picked up and identified as disturbance twenty seven. This looks to be moving off the coast of Africa later today. This disturbance has a fair chance of tropical development over the next week as it moves west across the tropical Atlantic. More than half the usual bunch of commentators have this curving early and posing no threat to land. We'll see. Stand easy.