HERMINE set for Florida panhandle

Wednesday 31st August 2016

Tropical depression nine has just been upgraded to tropical storm HERMINE now 360 miles south west of Apalachicola on the Florida panhandle. Maximum sustained winds have increased 40 knots gusting 50 in squalls and the storm is creeping slowly north and strengthening. The current hurricane severity rating is 2 out of a possible 50 points (1 size, 1 intensity) with predicted maximum of 11 (6 size / 5 intensity) and a predicted tropical storm windfield of 150 miles. This track is a little west of earlier forecasts. The storm is expected to accelerate to the north east shortly and make a landfall tomorrow. It will then expected track overland and reappear in the Atlantic from the South Carolina coast late Friday. Regardless of the intensity at landfall, flooding rainfall is expected, and a tornado outbreak is possible.

Tropical depression eight has turned away from the coast and is now located about 150 miles east of Cape Hatteras and is headed north east at 13 knots. This may perk up a little tomorrow but the general picture is harmlessly seaward now.

Category three hurricane GASTON is still a major hurricane located over 1300 miles west of the Azores and will move to the east-northeast over the next few days. This may affect the Azores in three to four days but may dissipate first.

Disturbance thirty is a tropical wave with a surface low that is centered over the Cape Verde Islands and is moving west at 12 knots. Dry air around the system will keep development chances low over the next few days as it moves across the tropical Atlantic although conditions may become more favourable in about 5 days time as it approaches the Leeward Islands.

Stand by Florida panhandle and north east Gulf.