Rain expected for the Leeward Islands

Thursday 8th September 2016

Disturbance thirty is currently passing a little to the south of Jamaica and is moving west at about 14 knots. A turn to the west-nor'west is expected in a couple of days. If it develops, it could turn sooner. As far as the Central America / Gulf of Mexico question goes, this is still neither fish nor fowl. In any event, environmental conditions would appear to be temporarily unsuitable for development in the Gulf.

Disturbance thirty two is about 300 miles east of the Leeward Islands, due north of the mouth of the Orinoco River moving west-nor'west at 15 knots. This will move over the northern portion of the Leeward Islands later today causing enhanced showers and thunderstorms for the islands over the weekend. This looks to be turning early and seems destined to pass well clear of the the eastern seaboard in the long term.

Disturbance thirty three is approximately three days west of the Cape Verde islands and is moving west at 15 knots. This is expected to continue on this heading with a turn toward the west-nor'west in a couple of days. If this develops, it could turn sooner. Model guidance has continues to set this tracking over the central tropical Atlantic and passing to the northeast of the Leeward Islands in about a week.

Stand easy.