MATTHEW hugging Florida coast

Friday 7th October 2016

The closest point of the eyewall of hurricane MATTHEW to land is about 35 miles east of Daytona Beach as the storm tracks north along the coast. The eye has not made a landfall and whilst this remains a destructive storm, that will be welcome news. Aerial observations show peak surface winds of around 90 to 100 knots which is a slight reduction and may be due to interaction with land. Over the next few hours the centre may edge a tad further to the east which will be welcome news ashore from a wind viewpoint but will increase rainfall. Heavy rain extends from near Daytona Beach to Charleston, South Carolina. Foresters are suggesting that the area from Savannah, Georgia to Myrtle Beach, South Carolina could see 10-12 inches of rain over the next 24 hours.

Hurricane NICOLE is 435 miles south of Bermuda and it is nearly stationary. It will move toward the south over the weekend with a turn toward the north expected early next week. There is no threat to land. Upper level shear has been shredding the storm's convection cycle and there is a chance this may lose energy rapidly over the next day or two.

Disturbance thirty eight is just passing the Leeward Islands and bringing enhanced showers and thunderstorms to the Lesser Antilles today and early tomorrow. Once it moves into the central Caribbean, conditions may become more favourable for development.

Disturbance forty one is around 400 miles due north of the mouth of the Amazon and moving slowly west. This is weak and unimaginative thus not expected to develop.

All eyes on the south eastern seaboard.