Hurricane NICOLE eyewall to brush BERMUDA
Thursday 13th October 2016
Strong category three hurricane NICOLE is close to the islands of Bermuda now. The track has taken a little lurch to the east in the last hour or so which may take the eye to the east but undoubtedly the western eyewall will brush the islands shortly and with it, bring winds in excess of 100 knots, a 6 to 8 foot storm surge and up to 8 inches of rain. Thereafter, NICOLE will track into the northern Atlantic and pass well clear south and east of Canada.
Disturbance forty two is about a day and a half east of the Leeward Islands and is moving to the west at 13 knots. Shower and thunderstorm activity has decreased with this system and development is unlikely in the short term. Nevertheless, the far western Caribbean is starting to gather favourable environmental conditions including warm water and a patch of rising air which makes this an area to watch in the coming weeks for any systems – such as this one – which survive the crossing and head west.
Disturbance forty three is around two and a half days steaming west of the Cape Verde islands and moving west-nor'west at 12 knots . There is a slight chance of development but as this has already begun to arc towards the north, we can safely assume that this will not cross the water nor impact any land areas.
Hurricane conditions across Bermuda now.