One final storm shaping up

Sunday 13th November 2016

Disturbance fifty two is still lounging around in the southwest Caribbean, loosely centred midway between Nicaragua and Colombia where a decent low pressure centre is predicted to form on Wednesday or Thursday. There is an increasing chance that this low will develop into a tropical storm by Friday as it drifts slowly north. Thereafter. a strong cold front will be sweeping across the Gulf of Mexico which will hold storm in the central Caribbean through the middle of next week.

A typical track for such a late-season storm would be northeast past Haiti and the Dominican Republic and out to sea. Strong wind shear and dry air across the Gulf of Mexico and off the southeast U.S. Coast should prevent any movement in that direction.

Stand easy.