No flying start to the 2017 season

The nominal start date for the Atlantic, Gulf of Mexico and Caribbean season was yesterday, June 1st and the month opened with no appreciable disturbances on radar save some tropical moisture emerging into the south west Gulf from activity in the Pacific.

This remains disorganised today under the protective influence of upper level wind shear but will bring enhanced showed and some thunderstorms to the north west Gulf this weekend.

Our first disturbance of interest has piped up about 300 miles south east of Trinidad moving west at 15 knots. This is not really a serious prospect and likely to stay on course and disappear when it passes across the Orinoco, bringing some showers to the region as far north as the central Lesser Antilles. Late start, then.

Stand easy.