Potential sign of threat to south-eastern seaboard
Monday 3rd July
This is uncharacteristically early for me but Disturbance Thirteen seems to be increasing in threat. Currently stationary around 750 miles east-nor-east of the mouth of the Amazon, this is disorganised but looks to be attaching itself to an approaching sharp gradient in a tropical wave. This gradient is headed west-nor'west and likely to help the system develop and curve early, often precursor to a fish storm but by no means certain. This does look as if it may head to pass the extreme north-eastern islands of the Caribbean but thereafter uncertain. A weather eye on Florida may be prudent, albeit several days away yet. Once this gets under way again, we will have a clearer idea.