Tropical storm GERT set to bully sailors

Monday 14th August 2017

Tropical Storm GERT is now 450 miles south-west of Bermuda headed north-nor'west at 12 knots and continuing to draw on favourable conditions and warm water. One or two commentators are even predicting hurricane strength. The current hurricane severity rating is 3 out of a possible 50 points (1 size, 2 intensity) with a predicted maximum of 7 (3 for size and 4 for intensity) with a tropical storm windfield radius of 180 miles. This will be a nasty little storm but only set to bully sailors and irritate fish as the anticipated track is still one that neatly misses land and will turn north-east once clear of Bermuda. Thereafter this will lose strength quickly when it finds cooler water.

Westbound Disturbances Thirty and Thirty One - half a day and two days west of the Cape Verde Islands respectively - seem set to get it together in the next day or so. The combined union stands a reasonable chance of development over the coming week. Post-nuptial intensity and track are anybody's guess, but a slight curve towards, and even away from the north-eastern Caribbean are amongst the honeymoon suggestions. It remains too early to determine whether or not the system will impact the Gulf of Mexico or United States East Coast.

Stand by western subtropical Atlantic.