Hurricane JOSE drifting west

Thursday 14th September 2017

Category 1 Hurricane JOSE remains under moderate wind shear but is still producing winds in excess of 70 knots. The cyclone has started moving west but over the next few days will turn north and then north east to pass between the Outer Banks and Bermuda early next week. This seems to be a widely held view although the odd one or two commentators are still suggesting that JOSE will approach the eastern seaboard.

Disturbance Thirty Nine is now well north of the route west, disappearing in the east central subtropical Atlantic.

Disturbance Forty is now 600 miles west-sou'west of the Cape Verde Islands, westbound at 14 knots. This has formed some surface organisation overnight and is entering an area of favourable development conditions although some dry Saharan air is being drawn in from the north east which can be a passion killer. If this develops, the disturbance may approach the Lesser Antilles in about a week with half a chance of deepening.

Disturbance Forty One is centred between the Cape Verde Islands and the African coast. This is producing some disorganised showers and thunderstorm activity as it heads west at 12 knots. This is also entering a patch of positive conditions and may need watching.

Watch needed on JOSE otherwise stand easy.