Weakening MARIA in final approach towards Outer Banks

Tuesday 26th September 2017

Yesterday's report somehow failed to send. The sleeping pigeon was apparently only kicked out of the loft this morning. My apologies for any inconvenience caused.

Hurricane MARIA is now 190 miles south east of Cape Hatteras headed north at 5 knots with maximum sustained winds of 80 knots, a peak HSI rating of 12 (8 for size and 4 for intensity) and a tropical storm windfield radius of 225 miles. MARIA is weakening due moderate upper level wind shear and cool water in the wake of JOSE and is probably enjoying its last 6 hours as a hurricane as the eye wall is starting to collapse. Nevertheless, squalls are already sweeping across the Outer Banks. High waves and torrential rain across coastal North Carolina will follow, where precautionary evacuation of out-lying islands is already under way. This cyclone will continue moving north for the next 24 hours until a strong upper-level trough forces MARIA hard a' starboard and a very welcome broad alteration of course to take the weakening storm away from the United States on Thursday.

Hurricane LEE is centred 750 miles east of Bermuda. Overshadowed by JOSE and later MARIA, this hurricane has been generally overlooked as it would seem only to have history and destiny as a fish storm. LEE continues to develop and now has a well-defined eye. There has been some south-easterly wind shear keeping LEE from hitting intensity headlines, which is now diminishing, but this will be replaced by a vertical shear primarily due to the outflow generated by MARIA. There will be a little more development but ultimately the forces of good will prevail and will probably see LEE off in three of four days' time.

Stand by for tropical storm weather conditions across coastal North Carolina.

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