NATE ashore and weakening

Sunday 8th October 2017

Category 1 Hurricane NATE made landfall around midnight local time near Biloxi, Mississippi with an HSI rating of 10 out of 50 (4 for size and 6 for intensity) with maximum winds of 75 gusting 95 knots. At that time, NATE had a 150 mile tropical storm strength radius although this was mainly towards the east and strong winds were recorded from Biloxi to Pascagoula and into western Alabama. Some damage has been reported from a significant tidal surge. NATE is weakening now as it heads inland off marine radar.

Disturbance Forty Eight is passing around 20 miles north of the Netherlands Antilles westbound at 12 knots. Aside from enhanced rainfall and the odd roll of thunder over the over the islands and along the coast of Venezuela, environmental conditions are unfavourable for development. Conditions in the far west remain unpredictable and a watch will be needed until this is well and truly ashore in Central America.

Disturbance Forty Nine is 870 miles east of the Leeward Islands moving west-nor'west at 12 knots. There is only a slight chance of tropical development as it passes the north of the north-easternmost islands of the Caribbean towards the middle of the coming week.
Disturbance Fifty is on the periphery of our interest. This is around a third of the way between Casablanca and Cape Hatteras drifting slowly to the southwest at 4 knots. This has a fair chance of development but is unlikely to approach land as it seems destined to lounge about in the eastern Atlantic over the next several days.

Disturbance Fifty One is passing to the south of the Cape Verde Islands moving west-nor'west at 12 knots. Environmental conditions are unfavourable for development in the short term.

Stand easy.