OPHELIA – a miserable day at sea

Friday 13th October 2017

Shower and thunderstorm activity have increased in association with Disturbance Fifty One, now about 350 miles east of the northern Leeward Islands. Upper-level winds are expected to keep a lid on development during the next couple of days while the system moves west-nor'west at 14 knots and passes north of the Leeward Islands and the Virgin Islands. Environmental conditions could become a little more conducive for some development early next week while the system begins to move over the west-central Atlantic but without impact on any land areas.

Disturbance Fifty Two is loosely centred around the Florida Straits, moving west at 14 knots. This will bring scattered showers and storms to the Gulf of Mexico as it tracks west but will weaken and no development is expected.

Hurricane OPHELIA has just passed peak when wind gusts of up to 100 knots were reported. This has been a miserable few days at sea. The system will track close enough to the south of the Azores to bring heavy rain and winds up to tropical storm force to the eastern islands tomorrow and into Sunday. By Monday and Tuesday of next week, OPHELIA is expected to be a non-tropical low tracking near Ireland bringing the potential of strong gales to coastal areas of Ireland, Scotland and Wales although a rapid weakening may yet save the day for the Emerald Isle.

Another miserable day at sea and storm cones aloft in the Azores.

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