Storm cones aloft over Ireland
Sunday 15th October 2017
From west to east
Disturbance Fifty Two is limping towards an unmemorable conclusion as a weak trough over the western Gulf of Mexico and only producing a few fragmented squalls.
Disturbance Fifty One is passing close to the north of Puerto Rico, poorly organised in the face of strong upper level wind shear. Disorganised showers and thunderstorms spread across the islands from Puerto Rico to the Leeward Islands. This system will turn to the north tomorrow, and then to the northeast by the middle of the week ahead of an approaching frontal boundary. Environmental conditions may become a little more favourable for development as it approaches Bermuda on Tuesday.
Hurricane OPHELIA reached a peak intensity of 105 knots yesterday becoming the 6th intense hurricane of the 2017. The system is now in the process of transitioning into an extratropical cyclone and weakening but still has some tropical characteristics with a defined eye and a determined vertical convection cycle. Now, maximum wind speeds have decreased to 80 knots as the cyclone passes over colder water as the storm passes well to the west of the Iberian peninsula. Tomorrow, the cyclone will impact the western British Isles with strong winds, high waves, and heavy rainfall with hurricane force winds likely across southwestern Ireland.
Storm cones aloft over south western Ireland.