Hurricane FLORENCE bullying fish and sailors
Wednesday 5th Wednesday 2018
Tropical Storm GORDON made landfall last night near to Dauphin Island, Mobile County, Alabama at peak hurricane severity index rating of 5 (2 for size, 3 for intensity) having been partly subdued by upper level wind shear in the final hours. This still produced gusts of hurricane force winds of up to 70 knots with a tropical storm windfield over a 50 mile radius. This is heading inland now and weakening, but still producing significant rainfall.
Almost unnoticed, Disturbance Thirty is in the western Caribbean sneaking towards a forgettable landfall on the Yucatan peninsula in the next 24 hours. This is producing scattered showers and thunderstorms but weakening already.
FLORENCE intensified overnight and is now a category 2 hurricane with wind speeds approaching 95 knots in gusts. Centred around 1400 miles east-sou'east of Bermuda and moving northwest at 12 knots, predicting the storm's track more than 24 hours ahead is pure speculation at this latitude. We can rest assured that the Caribbean and eastern seaboard can stand easy, but the same can't be said for Bermuda yet. The storm is expected to weaken over the next couple of days as it tracks northwest into an environment with higher wind shear but early next week, may intensify and become a nasty bruiser for anyone at sea in the area.
Disturbance Thirty Two is crossing the Cape Verde Islands now, westbound at 8 knots. Aerial imagery shows some surface circulation and a track to the west looks favourable. I'd keep an eye on this one.
Stand by for filthy weather at sea from fishstorm FLORENCE otherwise stand easy.