KIRK headed west at warp speed
Sunday 23rd September 2018
From west to east,
Disturbance Forty One is now 300 miles south of Bermuda headed west-sou'west at 5 knots. This is expected to follow a track south west of Bermuda and close in on the Outer Banks of North Carolina by Tuesday or Wednesday but unlikely to develop.
Tropical Depression Eleven is now 320 miles east of the Leeward Islands headed west at a leisurely 8 knots and weakening. There may be little left of this tomorrow.
Disturbance Forty Three is a non-tropical low located centred 900 miles west-sou'west of the Azores. The system is forecast to meander over the central Atlantic until it is absorbed by a frontal system by Wednesday and not affect any land areas but may have a short-lived development window.
Tropical Storm KIRK is now 480 miles west of the Cape Verde Islands moving west at a 22 knot warp speed with a small windfield of maximum sustained 40 knot winds. The forecast remains unchanged of this remaining around hurricane severity index rating 2 (1 for size and 1 for intensity) to arrival off the Windward Islands as a weak tropical storm by Thursday producing gusty squalls and heavy rainfall. Thereafter it is not expected to live long or prosper, simply to dissipate in the central Caribbean by the following weekend.