KIRK “It’s a storm Jim, but not as we know it”
Wednesday 26th September 2018
Disturbance Forty One is its closest point of approach to the Outer Banks of North Carolina now and about to make its turn harmlessly seaward away from the eastern seaboard. As most shower and thunderstorm activity is east of the nominal centre, there will be little impact ashore.
KIRK is intensifying now and reached tropical storm strength again in the last hour. Currently 400 miles east of Barbados heading west-nor'west at 18 knots, this is expected to weaken slightly before it crosses the Windward Islands tomorrow as a weak storm. At that time a hurricane severity index rating of just 3 (1 for size and 2 for intensity) is anticipated with a tropical storm force wind radius of 60 miles. KIRK will be by definition a storm but as storms go in this area in the recent past, not a memorable one. Once into the Caribbean, KIRK will dissipate fairly quickly.
Meandering Extratropical Storm LESLIE is still wandering aimlessly some 900 miles west-sou'west of the Azores. This is predicted to loaf about here for as long as a week, intensifying and may even reach hurricane strength but is unlikely to have any impact on any land mass.
Disturbance Forty Four is about half a day west of the Cape Verde islands headed west at 14 knots. As things stand, this doesn't seem to have much desire to develop.
Storm cones aloft over the Windward Island otherwise stand easy.