LESLIE bound for Iberian peninsula
Saturday 13th October 2018
From west to east,
Disturbance Forty Eight remains stalled close to the coast of Nicaragua in worsening environmental conditions for development and is expected to weaken and drift ashore over the next few days. Good.
Disturbance Forty Seven is still weak but maintaining shape as it crosses the southern Caribbean westbound at 20 knots. Now centred around 80 miles north of Aruba, this will produce enhance rainfall and scattered thunderstorms but won't develop.
The remnants of NADINE are loosely centred around 3 days east of the Leeward Islands headed west at 15 knots. Redevelopment is not expected due to unfavorable environmental conditions.
New Disturbance Fifty Two is centred around 800 east-nor'east of the mouth of the Amazon westbound at 12 knots. At the moment, this would seem to have an uneventful pressure profile ahead of it and a long term track into Central America next week.
We don't get to mention Madrid in these reports very often. Hurricane LESLIE has done dithering and is racing east-nor'east at a sprightly 32 knots towards the coast of Portugal. This self-destructive ground speed is stripping the cyclone of its tropical characteristics however will still cause gusts of gale force winds and heavy rain in a band across the Iberian peninsula from tonight as far east as yes, Madrid.
Storm cones aloft in Lisbon otherwise stand easy.