Early Pacific storm prediction from the Canadian guy

Friday 28th June 2019

After yesterday's featureless pressure chart of the region, two disturbances have piped up.

The remnants of Disturbance Six have fallen in with an upper level trough and regrouped over Cuba, the Florida Straits, and the Bahamas, producing enhanced showers and thunderstorms in a band from the northwestern Caribbean north across Cuba, the Bahamas, and South Florida. The disturbance is moving to the west-nor'west at 12 knots. Aside from showers and thunderstorms across the Gulf coast this coming weekend, development is not expected.

Disturbance Eight has formed about a day east of the Leeward Islands, westbound at 15 knots. This will meet upper level shear which should put paid to any fancy ideas this may have about developing. This is expected to track west across the southern Caribbean with the usual showers and thunderstorms but little else. The Canadian guy has this down for developing after crossing Central America and putting a show together in the eastern Pacific. Far too early to be making that kind of prediction in my humble view, but let's wait and see.


Stand easy.