BARRY ashore but with significant flood risk

Sunday 14th July 2019 1430 GMT

BARRY briefly hit hurricane strength at landfall in Vermilion Bay but quickly returned to tropical storm strength. This is now firmly ashore and off radar for maritime interests. Now centred over western Louisiana with winds around 35 knots within the heaviest squalls southeast of the centre, BARRY will continue to weaken as it slowly tracks north across Louisiana today. The primary concern will be torrential rain to the south and east of track. Significant flooding will continue to be a threat over southern Louisiana and the lower Mississippi valley along with some spirited squally gusts in places.

Disturbance Ten is in the southern Caribbean around 185 miles north of the Netherlands Antilles and moving west at 12 knots. This is losing a fight with upper level wind shear and is likely to dissipate over the next day or so. No development is expected.

Disturbance Twelve is centred around 200 miles north of the mouth of the Amazon moving west at 18 knots. Despite earlier promise, with some determined surface rotation, vertical convection failed to join the party and this now has almost no chance of development.

Disturbance Thirteen is passing the Cape Verde Islands westbound at 14 knots. This still has a twinkle in its eye, with some well organised rotation and robust thunderstorm activity. This has all the potential of being the storm enthusiast's daily pin-up, but a wall of sand-laden air awaits which would seem to outweigh development prospects.

Stand by for further flooding along, and to the west of the Mississippi otherwise stand easy. 

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