Disturbance closing on Lesser Antilles unlikely to develop
Saturday 3rd August 2019
Disturbance Twenty One is about 12 hours east of the Lesser Antilles moving west at 14 knots. This is showing signs of surface organisation with increased shower and thunderstorm activity. This is still being dismissed by modellers despite conditions being slightly favourable for development. As things stand, if this did develop, it is likely to curve north and head seaward anyway.
Disturbance Twenty Two is mid-Atlantic now and moving very slowly west. There is very little shower and thunderstorm activity evident but dry, sinking air seems to have the upper hand, thus the chances of development are limited.