Storm cones aloft over Cape Verde Islands
Monday 14th October 2019
Disturbance Fifty One is now close to the north coast of Honduras tracking slowly north-west and expected to reach the Bay of Campeche on Wednesday where conditions are expected to be marginally favourable for development. Rain watch needed at the very least.
Tropical fishstorm MELISSA continues to weaken under attack from upper level wind shear. Currently centred 575 miles south-east of Novia Scotia eastbound at 18 knots; this is barely achieving tropical storm force now and likely to dissipate in the next 12 to 24 hours.
Disturbance Fifty is centred around 400 miles north of the mouth of the Amazon moving west at 13 knots. This is still fairly disorganised and conditions are thunderstorm activity and rotation. Conditions are unfavourable for development when it reaches the Lesser Antilles on Wednesday.
Disturbance Fifty Two is close to the south west of the Cape Verde Islands 3 and showing signs of surface organisation. This stands a good chance of forming a tropical depression or storm overnight tonight as it tracks across the islands tomorrow.
Storm cones aloft over Cape Verde Islands otherwise stand easy.