Early start to Atlantic production line

Monday 15th June 2020

The 2020 Atlantic, Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico storm season continues to break established patterns, with the Atlantic production line cranking up some three to four weeks ahead of schedule. There is no indication that this will mean increased cyclone production, as other environmental conditions are yet to mature, just further indication of uncertainly this year.

Disturbance Eight is a short distance east of Trinidad, weakening in the face of strong upper level shear. This will bring some heavy showers and the odd thunderstorm over the Lesser Antilles over the next 24 hours but no development is expected.

Disturbance Nine is around one day's steaming south west of the Cape Verde Islands moving west at 12 knots. This is showing some surface organisation and picking up some moisture but battling some upper level shear and unlikely to develop although stands a reasonable chance of surviving the crossing.

Stand easy.