Disturbance One dissipated over eastern Mexico. All quiet.

General summary Sunday 8th June 2014

From west to east

Disturbance One dissipated over eastern Mexico. All quiet.

Despite some reasonably stable conditons at sea level, there is still some chaotic movement of air aloft over the region and some early signs of organisation. This is very early to forecast with any confidence but one or two American modellers are suggesting that a new disturbance may develop and move into the Gulf of Mexico next week. This is hardly susprising. The African -transAtlantic production line does not really get moving until mid-July, so the next batch of low pressure cells are likely to begin life in the far west Caribbean anyway.

Disturbance Two is centred about 12 hours steaming to the west of the Cape Verde Islands and moving west at 18 knots. The entire region is still choked with sand, so this is unlikely to develop.

Stand easy.

 

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