Disturbance Six at rest off Florida coast

High pressure upper level shear and dry air in the eastern Atlantic are the predominant meteorological characteristics of the reporting region today, so all eyes are on disturbance six, which is currently languishing off the coat of Florida. Now centred around 240 miles east of Jacksonville and moving to the south-sou'east at 3 knots, this disturbance hasn't changed much in terms of development over the past 24 hours and the smart money is still on a clockwise loop over the next couple of days. This does look to have shifted slightly west though, so the chances of interaction with the coast of north eastern Florida and South Carolina have increased slightly, however this remains minimal. After performing the slow clockwise loop, a slow north-easterly then seaward motion is expected. One ambitious modeller is now taking about a track to the north-west and a landfall in North Carolina. I really can't see that.

Stand easy.