Tropical storm ARTHUR stregthening and drifting coastwise

With the exception of some open low pressure waves crossing the intertropical convergence zone, ARTHUR remains the only show in town, but its turning into quite a promising one.

Tropical Storm ARTHUR is now centred 105 miles east-nor'east of Cape Canaveral and still creeping north at little more than walking pace. This is expected to pick up slightly then turn towards the north-nor'east tomorrow then slowly come round to the north east in a couple of days time. Environmental conditions remain fertile and ARTHUR may well become a hurricane within the next 18 to 24 hours and pass the Outer Banks of North Carolina as a category two hurricane. This prediction has nudged a little to the west and if this shifts any further west. a landfall or glancing blow over the Cape Hatteras area cannot be dismissed before it weakens and heads for the far east of the Canadian coast.

Aerial reconnaissance was carried out in the past few hours. Observations show a maximum wind speed of around 45 knots, but mainly to the east of the formation and with numerous radiating rain bands around the nominal storm centre. There are patches of dry air which will inhibit rapid development but there is still some pretty decent organisation taking place at the centre. Slow forward motion across warm water will only add fuel to this.

Strom cones aloft over Cape Hatteras, otherwise stand easy