Mid-Atlantic disturbance showing rotation

From west to east-

Disturbance ten is still around, passing the Netherlands Antilles westbound at 12 knots, but coughing and spluttering to a weak finale as it approaches Central America.

Disturbance twelve has done well to survive dry Saharan air and has reached a central Atlantic longitude as is crosses the convergence zone on a westerly heading at 12 knots. A European satellite pass has detected some circular organisation, and stirred one or two modellers into depression or even tropical storm speculation. One being the Canadian modeller of course. Both models indicate an early turn to the north-west and north into the open Atlantic before reaching any land areas. European and U.S. Navy modellers indicate it will could move into the Caribbean as a weak disturbance. I'm not so sure.

Stand easy

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