Early sign of a system heading for the Gulf of Mexico

Disturbance thirty has developed into a persistent area of squalls in the southwest Caribbean. This area is expected to move slowly to the northwest over the next few days. During this time, it will inherit some energy from inbound disturbances twenty three - which is a day west of the Leeward Islands - and twenty seven - 500 miles north of the Amazon delta. Add this to an area of low pressure which is expected to form in the northwest Caribbean in about four days from now and there is a good chance of cyclonic development heading for the Bay of Campeche or the southwestern Gulf of Mexico next week.

Disturbance thirty one is an area of squalls just off the South Carolina coast. There are no signs of organisation at this time. Any development is likely to be slow as the system moves very slowly to the northeast. There is a very slender chance of the system becoming a tropical depression or a weak tropical storm during the next few days.

Disturbance twenty nine is still drifting around in the subtropical Atlantic having edged to the northeast during the past 24 hours. A slow southwest drift is likely during the next couple of days. There is only a slight chance of this becoming a tropical depression or a tropical storm during the next week.

Disturbance twenty eight is located south of the Cape Verde Islands and moving to the west at 12 knots. This motion should continue for the next few days. The disturbance has a chance of becoming a depression or a storm within the next 48 hours. There is no immediate threat to land. Stand easy. 

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