Possible development off south east U.S. coast

Friday 19th September general overview

West to east -

Disturbance thirty seven is not really a disturbance per se but a large area of falling pressure located over the eastern Gulf of Mexico and extending east across Florida and into the northern Bahamas bringing enhanced showers and thunderstorms across the area today. A low pressure area is expected to form on a frontal boundary east of Florida late today or early tomorrow, then move north east. This could briefly acquire some tropical characteristics and become a depression or tropical storm before merging with a frontal system off the U.S. East Coast in about four days time and pass just east of the Outer Banks of North Carolina late Sunday and early Monday. This is the only system with any likelihood of development today.

Disturbance thirty four is passing to the north east of Hispaniola and moving to the west-nor'west at 10 knots. The southern portion of the disturbance will bring enhanced showers and thunderstorms to Puerto Rico, the Virgin Islands and the northern Leeward Islands today however development is not expected.

Tropical Storm EDOUARD is mid-Atlantic moving due east at 5 knots with winds now down to 55 knots. This will continue to weaken without any impact on land.

Disturbance thirty five is a weak tropical wave two days east of the Leeward Islands moving to the west-nor'west at 14 knots. Development still appears unlikely.

Disturbance thirty six is an area of low pressure centred over the Cape Verde Islands and moving west-nor'west at 7 knots. Conditions at this latitude are fairly favourable for development, but less so if it drifts north into dry air, which is appears to be hinting at.

Stand easy