Three new localised disturbances
Disturbance forty six has developed in the southwestern Caribbean. The disturbance is just east of the Costa Rica/Nicaragua border, and will likely drift inland today or tomorrow. There is still a chance it could become a tropical cyclone in the western Caribbean tracking northward toward the eastern Gulf of Mexico, the Florida Peninsula, or the southwestern Atlantic east of Florida. Development chances in the Caribbean are estimated to slim however. The disturbance will most likely track west across Central America into the east Pacific where development chances would be a little higher.
Disturbance forty four is located about a day east of the Leeward Islands and moving west at 18 knots. Upper-level winds are not favourable for development, and this disturbance will probably weaken over the next few days. Development is not expected.
Disturbance forty five has developed to close to the north east of the Leeward Islands and is moving west-nor'west at 12 knots.Some models indicate this disturbance could become a depression or tropical storm well to the north of the eastern Caribbean and well east of the Florida Peninsula. If the system does develop it will turn northward then northeastward and track away from any land areas. It could potentially affect Bermuda, but it would most likely pass to the north.
Disturbance forty seven has emerged from the African coast and is moving west at 10 knots. There is a slight chance that it could strengthen into a depression in 4-5 days, and could affect the northeastern Caribbean in about a week. Stand easyBack