Flurry of activity on three fronts

Disturbance forty five has strengthened and become tropical disturbance seven and looks to deepen further and may become FAY tonight. Currently situated 600 miles south-sou'east of the Bermuda and is moving northwest at 8 knots. The National Hurricane Centre is rather excited about this and the smart money is this on developing into a weak tropical or subtropical storm within the next 36 hours as it moves towards Bermuda. Thereafter, weakening is expected as it turns northeast and merges with a frontal system. The most likely scenario is that it will peak with winds between 35 and 45 knots in about 24 to 36 hours just south of Bermuda before it starts to weaken. Other than Bermuda and the odd fish, no significant impacts are expected – not forgetting anyone who has just set off on a transatlantic voyage, of course. Sorry, Captain Wes. I hope you packed your oilskins.

Disturbance forty four is centred 600 miles due north of the Amazon delta and is moving to the west-nor'west at 15 knots. A west-nor'west motion is likely to continue for the next 5 days. Enhanced showers and storms are possible for the northern Leeward Islands by Sunday afternoon. The system will pass near or north of Puerto Rico late Monday. Beyond that time, it may slow down and turn north, or it may continue moving west-nor'west toward the Bahamas. Development cannot be ruled out. Some watchers are suggesting that this may also have storm potential.

Disturbance forty seven is three days west of the Cape Verde Islands and is moving west at 12 knots. This disturbance has a slim chance of developing into a tropical depression or tropical storm over the next week, but is the least viable of the three. If it does develop, it looks as if it might make an early turn into the central Atlantic, well to the east of the Caribbean.

Stand easy