GONZALO bad news for Bermuda this afternoon

Avid weather watchers are still expecting a broad low to form in the Bay of Campeche in 3 to 5 days. If this does develop, it would probably remain to the south of the Gulf of Mexico. However, it also has the potential of spreading squalls north into the northern Gulf of Mexico though dry air may limit the potential for squalls. It may also result in a large span of 20 to 35 knot winds in the northern Gulf of Mexico.

Hurricane GONZALO is currently centred 160 miles south-sou'west of Bermuda at peak intensity with a hurricane severity index of 34 out of a possible 50 (21 for size and 13 for intensity intensity making this the most powerful Atlantic storm in 4 years. Current maximum sustained winds of between 110 and 140 knots are being reported, with gusts up to 150 knots and a tropical storm force windfield over a 250 mile radius. This is a bruiser. GONZALO is currently headed north-nor'east at 14 knots. This storm has accelerated slightly and will pass very close to Bermuda in the next few hours.

There has been some reduction in eyewall cycling and the edge is off the wind, but at this intensity, will be of little consolation ashore in Bermuda where this is going to be bad news. Thereafter GONZALO will continue to accelerate passing close to the east of southeastern Newfoundland late tomorrow night and early on Sunday. This is also likely to be an unpopular arrival in Newfoundland.

Disturbance forty seven is still dithering several hundred miles to the north of the Amazon. Indecision has taken its toll and the system is being sheared by an upper-level low over the area. Good news Captain Wes. Clear run. Battle pennants aloft in Bermuda and storm cones in Newfoundland.