Aerial observers report collapse of DANNY
General overview Monday 24th August 2015
Dithering disturbance thirty, which has been more or less stationary off the north eastern seaboard for the past few days, has disappeared into an eastbound front and is history as far as we are concerned.
A US Air Force ‘hurricane hunter' aircraft has flown through the remnants of DANNY. Wacky choice of posting for an aviator, one would imagine. A few light westerly winds remain but observed as neither strong nor extensive enough to support the existence of a well-defined circulation. DANNY is now centred very near Guadeloupe and entering the northeast Caribbean. The system has been downgraded to a tropical depression and will weaken to a remnant low over the next 24 hours as it tracks across the northeast Caribbean. The cyclone remnant won't pass completely unnoticed though as this will bring torrential rainfall to the recently drought stricken islands of the north-eastern Caribbean where rain will undoubtedly be welcome, but perhaps not in a single downpour. All modellers have signed DANNY off long before the remnants limp anywhere near the Gulf of Mexico.
The situation in the wake of ex-storm DANNY is attracting interest. Disturbance thirty one is now centred around 600 miles north-nor'east of the Amazon and dashing west at just short of 20 knots. This has become better organised and is set to follow DANNY, perhaps a little to the north of track and is already being tipped as a strong tropical depression or storm soon. The same upper level shear which decapitated DANNY so effectively awaits this disturbance thus at present there appears to be no threat to the Gulf of Mexico.
Next in the Atlantic production line, disturbance thirty two is also rushing west at 18 knots, now a day's steaming west of the Cape Verde Islands. A weather watch would be prudent.
The Gulf of Mexico continues to enjoy a charmed existence.
Raincoats across the islands of the north Caribbean, otherwise stand easy.