ERIKA - Florida dodges a bullet

General overview Saturday 29th August 2015

Florida has dodged a bullet with ERIKA. Now centred just 200 miles south east of Florida Keys and west-nor'west at 18'knots, the cyclone lost energy crossing Hispaniola and is little more than a tropical depression now. This has slipped below hurricane index ratings with winds of between 30 and 40 knots in gusts. These winds will spread across extreme southern Florida and the Florida Keys over the next 12 hours. The disturbance has not become any better organised since limping pathetically back to sea after losing the battle ashore crossing Hispaniola. There is a slight chance that the system may redevelop into a tropical depression or a weak tropical storm, but this has passed its best and will dissipate somewhere along the west coast of Florida over the next three days. The primary threat will be heavy rainfall and squally weather.

Disturbance thirty three is now centred around 750 miles north-nor'east of the Amazon delta, still westbound but weakening.

Disturbance thirty four is just passing the Cape Verde Islands now and showing early signs of organisation.

Umbrellas and sighs of relief in Florida, otherwise stand easy.