General overview Sunday 30th August 2015
The last remnants of ERIKA are crossing the Florida Keys and will shortly enter the far south eastern Gulf of Mexico shortly. Maximum winds are around 30 knots. Some strengthening is possible and the system still has a chance of becoming a depression as it tracks north through the eastern Gulf of Mexico over the next couple of days, but no more than that. Whatever survives thereafter It is expected to move inland near the Big Bend of Florida early on Tuesday.
Regardless of any re-development, the primary threat will be heavy rainfall across the Florida Peninsula through Useless disturbance thirty three is centred somewhere about 600 miles north of the Amazon delta and is moving to the west-nor'west at 12 knots. Conditions are not favourable for strengthening and this system is expected to dissipate over the next 2-3 days. It could bring enhanced showers and thunderstorms to the Lesser Antilles in a day or two but development is not expected.
Disturbance thirty four has become tropical storm FRED as it crosses the Cape Verde Island with sustained winds of just over 35 knots. FRED is in with a reasonable chance of Fred is becoming a hurricane over the next 48 hours but is likely to peak early and turn to the west-nor'west and remain seaborne well clear of land.
Rainfall in Florida otherwise stand easy.