Hurricane FRED in Cape Verde Islands
The remnants of ERIKA remain disorganised. However, the system is producing widespread areas of thunderstorms with heavy rainfall. Although the system is unlikely to redevelop into a tropical depression, heavy rain is expected to cause some flooding over the Florida peninsula over the next two days as the system moves north through the eastern Gulf. Heavy rainfall is expected to cause flooding in places with total rainfall amounts of 4 to 8 inches expected through Tuesday.
Disturbance thirty three is a day to the east of the northeastern most islands of the Caribbean and moving to the west-nor'west at 15 knots. Conditions are not favourable for strengthening and this system is expected to dissipate over the next day or two with only a few showers and thunderstorms over the Lesser Antilles over the next 36 hours.
According to the official Atlantic tropical cyclone record, which begins in 1851, FRED is the first hurricane to pass through the Cape Verde Islands since 1892. The system has stopped strengthening, and there are indications that it is starting to weaken already but will continue to spread hurricane conditions or near-hurricane conditions over portions of the northwestern Cape Verde Islands for another 8 hours or so. FRED is expected to weaken to a remnant low in 5 to 6 days as it encounters strong upper-level winds, cooler water temperatures, and dry air. There is no threat to the western half of the basin. Stand by Cape Verde Islands, otherwise stand easy.