Busy skies but US Gulf remains storm free

General overview Sunday 13th September 2015

Disturbance thirty nine is a surface trough over the extreme western Gulf of Mexico, producing scattered heavy thunderstorm squalls over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico. This will continue through to Tuesday as the trough remains over the same general area. Beyond Tuesday, the disturbance will weaken and dissipate.

The last remnant of GRACE is a tropical wave located over Hispaniola. The weak disturbance will enhance showers and thunderstorms slightly over areas of the Gulf of Mexico from Wednesday through to Friday but has little or any chance of development into a tropical depression.

Disturbance thirty eight is weak and difficult to track, is loosely centred about a day east of the Leeward Islands. Enhanced showers are possible over the northeastern Caribbean from now until early Wednesday, but no development is expected.

Disturbance forty two is swirling around hopelessly in mid- subtropical Atlantic, currently moving to the west-nor'west at 8 knots. The disturbance has only a faint chance of developing into a depression over the next 48 hours before it merges with a frontal trough and dissipates.

Disturbance forty one is about three days west-sou'west of the Cape Verde Islands and is moving westward at 15 knots. This still has a good chance of development over the next few days but likely to arc north early into the central Atlantic.

Disturbance forty three is a tropical wave over the African coast and is moving west at 12 knots. The system has a good chance of development over the next week it moves to the west or west-nor'west over the eastern Atlantic but there is no threat to the Caribbean and the Gulf of Mexico continues to enjoy a privileged season

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