Sharp lookout needed for south-eastern seaboard.
From west to east;
Tropical Depression LISA has entered the Bay of Campeche and is moving to the north-west at just over 5 knots producing maximum winds of just 30 knots. Currently centred around 80 miles north of Coatzacoalcos, Mexico, this low ground speed over warm water would under normal circumstances have LISA digging in fast, but strong upper level wind shear has the conn and LISA is expected to dissipate in the western Bay of Campeche overnight.
A low pressure system to the north-east of the Caribbean is gaining interest as it shows signs of surface organisation and environmental conditions may be turning more favourable for it to develop either a tropical or subtropical system. This is moving slowly north-west towards the Bahamas and the south-eastern seaboard of the United States towards the middle of the week. Predictions of track and intensity are highly speculative at this time of the season but at the very least, this is expected to produce gale force winds and torrential rain along the coast from north Florida to the Carolinas with risk of some coastal flooding. A weather watch would be prudent.
Disturbance Forty Four is now some 500 miles east of Bermuda moving safely east and is likely to be absorbed into an eastbound front over the next day or two.
Weather watch needed for the south-eastern seaboard and for the last vestiges of LISA in the Bay of Campeche, otherwise stand easy.