Westbound disturbances still running gauntlet of sand.
From west to east:
Disturbance Twenty One is ashore over southern Texas and heading inland. This is producing some heavy rain in places. This will continue to do so for a day or two as it pushes into northern Mexico where localised flooding remains a possibility, however no tropical development is expected now.
Disturbance Nineteen is in the eastern Caribbean moving to the west at 16 knots. This is expected to curve towards the north-west over the coming days and may shape up for the Bay of Campeche towards the end of the week. There may be a slight chance of development before moving ashore into Mexico, but in any event, another rainmaker for Texas.
Disturbance Twenty Two has piped up well to the north of the Leeward Islands, moving north at 10 knots. This is expected to make a rapid turn to the north-east soon and disappear harmlessly seaward.
Disturbance Twenty has been reluctant to move far from the Cape Verde Islands although seems to have a head of steam up in the last hour or two and is now westbound at 12 knots. This is still unlikely to survive the current Atlantic ordeal by sand. Whilst this extended period of Saharan air interrupting the convection cycle is starting the rumour mill going with one or two modellers beginning to rethink their season predictions, we will leave our predictions as they are. When sorrows come, they come not single spies, but in battalions.
Stand easy.