EARL heading harmlessly north and diminishing.
From west to east:
EARL has transitioned into a wide area of low pressure in the north Atlantic which is filling slowly. Aside from a large swell seas, strong winds and some heavy rain at sea, this will have no more impact ashore.
As anticipated yesterday, Disturbance Twenty Nine lost all semblance of shape in the central Atlantic and has dissipated.
The only ascendant low pressure cell on radar today is Disturbance Thirty which is currently midway between the African coast and the Caribbean moving to the west-nor’west at 15 knots. This is fanning out a wide sweep of scattered and disorganised showers and thunderstorms, but without any cohesive structure. As this shapes up to pass the Leeward Islands in around four days’ time and head into the northern Caribbean, the experts continue to write this off. I’m still not sure, but they have significantly more resources and a smarter professional insight than an old sailor with nothing more than a hunch, so we’ll go with that.
Still some unpleasantness at sea in the north Atlantic, otherwise stand easy.