Weather watches on Caribbean and eastern seaboard.
From west to east;
As if responding to accusations of weakness by the increasingly stagnating storm watchers, Disturbance Forty has been developing overnight like mischief, swift to enter in the hearts of desperate men. Probably at its closest point of approach to Bermuda now, this is headed north-nor’west at 10 knots with increasingly organised bursts of thunderstorms near its low level centre. From previous assurances that this would pass Bermuda unnoticed, today locally heavy rainfall is expected with localised flooding and wind gusts to tropical storm force in squalls. This has the makings of a developing tropical storm after leaving Bermuda in its wake but will soon enter an environment that is unfavourable for development, so the chances of becoming a named storm are slim at best. The disturbance will finish tracking to the west of Bermuda this morning and shift to the north-nor’west off the eastern seaboard.
Disturbance Forty One has piped up 300 miles north of the mouth of the Amazon headed west-nor’west at 8 knots and is expected to enter the southeast Caribbean in two to three days’ time. It is too early to predict track and intensity with any conviction but conditions in the Caribbean may be more favourable for development of an opportunist cyclone. I expect the experts will be on to this tomorrow. Or the day after.
Stand easy.