Muck and filth headed for south-eastern seaboard
From west to east:
Thunderstorms associated with Disturbance Forty Five continue to fan out over the northeast Caribbean, extending north of Hispaniola, Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands. A low pressure centre seems to be developing 100 miles north of Puerto Rico moving north at 10 knots. A high pressure ridge to the north will push this to the north-west and west early next week where environmental conditions may be favourable for this system to develop into a subtropical or tropical storm. This is highly speculative but if it does develop, any cyclone is likely to move west or west-nor’west across the Bahamas and towards the Florida peninsula during the early to middle part of next week. Since the centre is still in the formation process, establishing track and intensity are almost impossible but all pointers would continue to indicate an increasing risk of coastal flooding, gale-force winds, heavy rainfall, rough surf, and beach erosion along much of the south-eastern seaboard during the early to middle part of next week.
Disturbance Forty Four is battling strong wind shear 680 miles east of Bermuda. This is expected to move slowly to the west over the next 24 hours and then dissipate with only a slight chance of this being briefly upgraded to a tropical depression or weak tropical storm this afternoon as it crosses the narrowest of development windows.
Stand by for muck and filth approaching the south-eastern seaboard.