Rain headed for western Gulf of Mexico

Wednesday 15th June 2016

Disturbance six is centred around 200 miles due north of Panama and is moving to the west at around 13 knots and is decelerating. A north-westerly course at dead slow ahead is likely during the next few days taking the system into the Bay of Campeche over the weekend or into Monday. It is during that time that the system has a slight chance of developing although there are no signs that the system would become an intense system. Regardless of development, the system will enhance shower and thunderstorm activity over the Bay of Campeche from Saturday into Monday and for northeastern Mexico and possibly as far north as South Texas by Monday and Tuesday.

A number of chatterers are still punting an area of low pressure developing off the southeast or Mid Atlantic United States Coast in about 3 to 5 days but are withdrawing some of their previous wackier strength expectations. Regardless of development, the system will be capable of producing high surf and gusty winds for the Mid Atlantic and New England coasts this weekend and early next week.

Stand easy.