Foul weather in the south eastern United States

Tuesday 9th August 2016

Disturbance twenty two remains an area of low pressure over the south eastern United States with a weak surface trough extending into the Gulf of Mexico. Since the centre of the low is almost stationary over southern Alabama, this is unlikely to develop but is cycling wet air from the Gulf across the south eastern states and chucking it down. The heaviest rainfall - anything up to a foot - is likely for the western Florida panhandle and coastal Alabama, with 6 to 8 inches expected in coastal Mississippi and slightly less in south-eastern Louisiana which could still experience 4 to 6 inches. Of small comfort to those currently under the deluge, tropical development is not expected.

Disturbance twenty one is well to the north of Bahamas and continuing to move slowly to the north or north-nor'east, keeping it well away from the eastern seaboard but unlikely to develop.

Disturbance twenty three has formed about 800 miles east of Tobago and is moving to the west-nor'west at about 12 knots, expected to reach the Windward Islands late tomorrow. This is kitten-weak with just a few squalls and no tropical development is likely.

Foul weather gear in the south eastern United States, otherwise stand easy.